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SUMMARY:Feeding the Tigers: Remittances and Conflict in Sri Lanka - Domini
 c Rohner (University of Lausanne)
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20240612T140000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20240612T173000
UID:https://new.talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/a3a77e88-fa12-4488-a9d5-9b26d0e3d7
 f1/
DESCRIPTION:We study the influence of the diaspora remittance flows on the
  intensity of conflict in the Sri Lankan Civil War during the period 2000-
 2009. Using data on Facebook connections at the subnational level\, we inf
 er which remittance flows were likely to benefit the Tamil Tiger rebels re
 lative to the central government. Using shocks to source country remittanc
 e flows\, we show that exogenous increases in remittances to Tamil Tiger-c
 ontrolled areas significantly increased their fighting strength. We then s
 et up a quantitative model of armed conflict between two sides and many co
 ntested geographical locations\, augmented with remittance flows that affe
 ct the fighting strength of the two sides\, and calibrate it to the Sri-La
 nkan Civil War. After structurally estimating key parameters using remitta
 nce and fighting outcome data\, we use the model to quantify how war outco
 mes would have differed in the absence of remittance flows. We find that r
 emittances had a significant impact on the timing of the central governmen
 t victory. Remittances that favoured the Tamil Tiger rebels prolonged the 
 war by as much as 9 years.\nSpeakers:\nDominic Rohner (University of Lausa
 nne)
LOCATION:Manor Road Building (Seminar Room A)\, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
TZID:Europe/London
URL:https://new.talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/a3a77e88-fa12-4488-a9d5-9b26d0e3d7
 f1/
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DESCRIPTION:Talk:Feeding the Tigers: Remittances and Conflict in Sri Lanka
  - Dominic Rohner (University of Lausanne)
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